Wednesday 18 July 2018

Real Reason Fayose/PDP Lost Ekiti 2018 Election: What Are The Issues? What Are The Factors That Characterized the election?

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What are the issues?

What are the factors that characterized the election?

Let me first of all state here that my name is Asiwaju Oladimeji, from Usi-Ekiti. I am from Ajana family.

I schooled at the University of Ado-Ekiti.

Worked in Ado Ekiti

Married in Ado Ekiti.

I witnessed Fayose-Oni-Fayemi-Fayose administrations.

So, I am rooted here.
Again, I studied political science and I have been involved with 4 Elections in Ekiti: 2011, 2014, 2015, 2018 as either INEC's ad hoc staff or observer.

So, I am at a vantage position of analysing voting behaviour/pattern of Ekiti people.
Again, cos I worked with National Population Commission in Ekiti state and with my vast experience as a field officer, I have travelled around most of the villages and towns across the 3 senatorial districts. 

So, omo una kan o le wa ma pa iro mo wa l'ori.. Hell No.
It is important to draw our attention back to 2014 especially on PDP primary which produced Fayose then. 

Yes, it was on record that Prince Dayo Adeyeye stepped down for Fayose. But an insider told me that Fayose never committed himself of supporting Adeyeye in 2018.
However, i was informed that Dayo Adeyeye was of the opinion that he will get Fayose's support in 2018. Moreover, Fayose himself declared that once his tenure is over, he is going away with his Deputy.

Why did Fayose then changed his mind three years after that statement?
The choice of Eleka by Fayose was the beginning of PDP defeat on Saturday.

After PDP primary, Eleka emerged via Fayose's structures. Dayo Adeyeye left for APC. He did not just leave. He left with some bigwigs.

Owoseni (Ise) 
Gbosa (Ikere)
Again, because of Fayose's arrogance and 'one-man mopol' style of governance, most of his financiers and supporters who felt aggrieved immediately he became the governor distanced themselves and later left for APC.
Cyril Fasuyi from Ido wws another big factor.
All of a sudden, emperor Fayose become a god to himself. He shut down every opposition within PDP. He is the alpha and omega. He singlehandedly selected all the HoA members without conceding some to other members.
Fayose appoints all the Commissioners, SAs. In fact, there was a rumour that he even reduced the number of Eleka's (Deputy Governor) convoy. Slashed his security vote. Fayose was another Pharaoh
Fayose turned Ekiti House of Assembly to another laughing stock. How I wish some of u have an idea of those we called Honourables in Ekiti. 

One is called Paso Osoko. The guy does not even know what is a "bill"

One is Olasca from Ido. That one nah Fuji musician.

Iya je wa oo.
There were rumours that those HoA members paid Fayose certain percentage. 

Attempt to do something similar with Senator Raji Rasaki (Central) and Senator Olujimi (South) was met with stiffed opposition.
Because of Fayose's greediness, he lost Olujimi. Senator Olujimi became an outsider even as a PDP member. Most of her followers waited patiently for July 14. 

Again, Senator Raji Rasaki could not work with Emperor Fayose.
In fact, Senator Raji Rasaki was more of APC than PDP. Though she later decamped officially. 

Thus, in just 3.5years, Emperor Fayose had lost

Prince Dayo Adeyeye
Senator Olujimi
Senator Raji Rasaki
Barrister Owoseeni (His former attorney)
Lemme also remind u that Emperor Fayose because of his dictatorial character, singlehandedly selected Deji Ogunsakin as Eleka's running mate.

Sir/Ma, that decision did not go down well with most PDP members. E.g. Tosin Aluko became aggrieved in Ado.
I met some of Tosin Aluko's supporters after that decision. They were so angry. They felt rejected. If u go to their base around "Orita Blessing", u can feel their anger.

They will tell u "who is Deji"?
For those of u who do not know who is Tosin Aluko? Go to Ado and u will know how popular she is. 

Yes, she did not decamp but her body language speaks volume. Her supporters got her message loud and clear.
Invariably, Emperor Fayose and PDP went into this election with a depleted and torn umbrella. But because he knows how to mobilize for rally, some of u thought he was that same Fayose of 2014.

Ba ba nla scam.
Lemme quickly state here that the choice of Baba Bisi Egbeyemi as APC Deputy Governor was strategic. Baba is from Ado. Immediately Baba accepted that offer, some important PDP members left for APC straight away. I know of Hon Adeleye Adebayo.
Immediately, Emperor Fayose lost Senator Raji Rasaki (Ado), Tosin Aluko (Ado) and the emergence of Baba Egbeyemi as APC DG, some of us knew Ado votes will be keenly contested. The result from Ado vindicated us.
Immediately Emperor Fayose lost Prince Dayo Adeyeye and Barrister Owoseeni, some of us knew Ise/Orun LG will be difficult for PDP to win.

Ise Ekiti people simply came out and carried out a protest votes against Fayose for denying their son twice: 2014/2018.
Emperor Fayose's calculation was to use Emure LG votes to negate that of Ise/Orun. Sadly, Adeyeye penetrated that axis and APC narrowly lost with just 100votes.

Adeyeye was a GAME CHANGER.
Now, why did Eleka who hailed from Ikere performed badly even though PDP won in Ikere.

Lemme explain.
After Ado, if i am not wrong, Ikere has the next voting population. Ordinarily, if any candidate win Ikere/Ado with huge margin, trust me u can win Ekiti election.
Hon Gbosa from Ikere followed his godfather (Dayo Adeyeye) to APC. That was the first major problem of Eleka in Ikere. 

Dont forget, Eleka is not a politician. In fact, he is not even popular in Ikere if not because he was made the DG.
Gbosa is another strong grass root politician in Ikere with the likes of Hon Afuye.

They were ready to spoil the votes in Ikere for APC. But that was not the major factor of Eleka's poor performance in Ikere.

It was the issue of Olukere vs Fayose tussle.
Historically, Ikere Ekiti has two kings namely, Ogoga and Olukere. I was informed (not certain) that the Olukere side has more population than Ogoga.

Fayose had issues with Olukere and at a point, Emperor Fayose locked the king inside the prison for 54days.
You locked a whole king up, what a taboo. 

That was Eleka's problem in Ikere. Eleka too during this period was silent. Your king was dehumanized yet u keep quiet. Who does that pls?
When Olukere was eventually released, some of u need to see how he was welcomed back. U need to see the crowd. Well, the King promised to answer Emperor Fayose at the right time. So, the Olukere and his people waited till July 14 and play their own game.
So, APC lost Ado with small margin and even performed excellently in Ikere beyond expectations.

What do u expect, the game was over.
Again, another strategic man for APC was BAFEM. In fact, immediately Fayemi won APC primary election, he had to quickly woo BAFEM. The man is just another FAYOSE.

BAFEM is from Omuo Ekiti. The rest was history.
Lemme quickly add here that though Senator Olujimi (South) from Omuo Ekiti though still in PDP could not deliver because most of her supporters felt aggrieved especially with the way Emperor Fayose treated her.
Then Ido-Osi. My local govt. In fact, i can't remember the last time progressive won Ido Osi LG. 

Emperor Fayose lost a key figure there. Cyril Fasuyi. My brother and sister, that was all. Couple with how Fayose betrayed Baba Adeniran (Orin), Ido-Osi was lost 4 d 1st time.
The bottom line is that, Fayose had created more enemies for himself. Enemies who had at one point in time were his foot soldiers across the 16 LGs. Enemies who fought for his victory in 2014. He lost all of them cos of HIS GREEDINESS and thirst for POWER.
He lost all those structures he worked with 4years ago. He pushed them outside the umbrella and the broom family welcomed them.

Is politics not LOCAL? 

From Ayo Arise in Oye
Dayo Adeyeye Ise
Cyril Ido
And hosts of others, Fayose became an isolated child.
He was fooling himself.. Thinking he has all the structures across the 16 LGs. He was a FOOL.
Lemme quickly add this. Emperor Fayose, during the two LG elections in the state, singlehandedly selected all thr chairmen and Councilors including all the supervisors.

You dare not challenge his authority.
What baffled me most was how Fayose treated all these LG chairmen. In fact, some of them even regretted it. Yes. I am not exaggerating here. Some of them could not even boast of doing anything meaningful for themselves.
No single LG chairman can spend 500k on project. Won ti bi e da. U will have to take it to Oke Ayaba and consult Emperor Fayose. His verdict is final. 

See, all these factors got some people angry and the were waiting for July 14 to pay back.
Should we talk about how Emperor Fayose lost the Ekiti state civil servants? Those that normally would die for him anytime any day?

In fact, they were patient with him. But at a point, they were tired of his gimmicks and lies on EKTV
Few days to the election, some of them who are ardent followers of Osoko, started asking questions. Fundamental questions. Questions that Emperor Fayose could not answer. He had run out of lies. The last one was the delay in FAAC.
Sadly, workers' votes had been divided. He could not secure their bloc votes. He wanted to play on the teachers but it was late also.

LG 9months salaries
Teachers 7months
EKSU 3months
State workers 6months

They could not STOMACH the INFRASTRUCTURE again.
APC was ready to exploit that on the day of election. I will explain that later
After losing his foot soldiers, Emperor Fayose could not again secure the workers' bloc votes. 

Pensioners could not give him their bloc votes.

Old citizens who were enjoying 5k from JKF 4yrs ago which Fayose stopped could not give him their bloc votes.

Game over.
Emperor Fayose levelled what he called child tax. For every child in private school, a parent will pay between 500-1000 naira. 

Meat sellers tax was increased. At a point, they went on strike in Ekiti. For one cow, u pay 1k. Imagine how many cows they kill everyday.
Those tippers association also went on strike. He increases tax on them. Same thing goes to those selling woods. All these anti-human policies became subject of discussion during the campaign. But Miz Cazorla in Abia wont know this.
Running out of idea, Emperor Fayose wanted to employ, 2000 people barely 2weeeks to the election.

The application form does not even has a column showing which position u are applying form.
Rather the form has column for PVC, Ward, Polling unit etc.

What kind of madness is that.

He sent the applicants 1,500 each to come to his rally so as to deceive the likes of Atiku that he has the state lock down.

And my SE brothers fell for it. Sad.
A day to election, Emperor Fayose insulted Ekiti workers by crediting their accounts with 3k each calling it EKSG Stipends. That was an insult. A great one. Folks that u are owing 5-9 month salaries?
So, what do u expect on the day of election. You have an emperor who has lost his structures, lost the civil servants, lost the pensioners, lost the old citizens that were getting 5k before but can barely eat now.

Pls, what do u guys expect?
Eve to the election, emperor Fayose apart from the 3k that were sent to all the civil servants, his foot soldiers started sharing 4k each to any voter. Moving from one house to another. Collating names and their data.

4k each. Yet the idiot could not pay salary.
APC responded on Saturday by sharing their own 5k. In some hot spots like Ikere, i learnt it was 5-10k. 
So, both parties shared money.

Was that the defining factor?

Hell No.

People were hungry. People collected part of their stolen money from both parties.
Then, they decided to vote for whoever they want.

Am i justifying financial inducement during election? No.

But don't let us treat this issue of inducement in isolation. Something led to it.

i will discuss the role Igbira's bloc votes in Ekiti and how Yahya Bello's influence was also strategic.

At least, since 2003, i know that the Igbiras mostly from Kogi always support Fayose during election. And if there is any place u need to manipulate election in Ekiti, u have to go to those farm settlements populated by Igbiras
So, APC job was well cut out. Make sure that Fayose does not have his way this time around in those settlements. Thus the need to bring Yahya Bello from Kogi was not only timely but strategic. Bello ensures that the Igbiras bloc votes go to APC
And yes, from what i experienced on the field on Saturday, Yahya Bello delivered. 

Again, emperor Fayose lost out.
Lemme quickly express how emperor Fayose lost in Ikogosi and his axis. This is very key for me because it has to do with folks losing their jobs because of Fayose's inability to understand what governance is all about.
Now, Ikogosi is a town in Ekiti state. It is a tourist attraction site where cold/warm water met. The place had not witnessed any meaningful development until JKF came to power in 2010.
The town is like a ghost town before the emergence of JKF in 2010. 

However, the town witnessed a new life when JKF invested on Ikogosi project. New hotel was built. Actors/Actresses started visiting the place.
I even learnt (not sure) that some movies were shot there. Then we had gossy water. UAC was part of those stakeholders that invested in that Gossy water.

Boom. U can imagine the economic activities that greeted those towns around Ikogosi. Jobs were created.
Even most of their Youth who are okada riders started making money. U can imagine number of visitors that visit Ikogosi during Xmas, Easter or any festive period.

My brothers and sisters, after emperor Fayose took over, that place is now DEAD.
I mean DEAD. Gossy water no longer function. The resort center is nothing to write home about. Instead of visitors trooping in.. What u see is goats sleeping on the main roads that leads to Ikogosi.

Those villagers waited till July 14 and do the needful
How will emperor Fayose secured Farmers' votes in Ekiti. Lemme inform u guys that the Ministry of Agriculture has just one tractor that is functioning. In his 3.5 yrs, Fayose did not empower one single farmer.

Yes, u heard me LOUD and CLEAR.
All the tractors that were working at the LGs are almost dead. Emperor Fayose has no interest in Agriculture. He prefers the bridge. The conduit pipe for his stolen money. As God liveth, he will cough out our money.
As farmers, we begged him to approach FG for CBN-Anchor. But hell No. Farmers cant get fertilizers at subsidized rate like some other states. Farmers do go to Osun, Kwara, Ondo, Kogi to hire tractors 

Pls how do u convince them to vote for u.
How many of u are aware that Emperor Fayose in his 3.5yrs is yet to renovate up to 5schools or hospitals in Ekiti. Some of u need to even visit all the General hospitals across the 16 LGs. 

He just doesn't care.
How many of u are aware that some Ekiti people lost their jobs because of how his anti-investors policies pushed Coca-Cola out of Ekiti. Same with GTB. We initially even lost Eco Bank.
Here is my conclusion, PDP did not lose this election on July 14. They did not lose cos of 5k because they also shared 4k.

They lost the moment one ARROGANT, SELFISH, GREEDY and TYRANT man made the election about himself. 




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