In this report, DARE ADEKANMBI previews the battle for the control of Oyo State, particularly the governorship polls on February 28, 2015, and the dynamics that may determine the colour of the political firmament in the state.
Fresh ripples have been in the polity with the announcement by the
Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) of the time table for
all elections in the country beginning with the governorship battles in
Osun and Ekiti states this year. Of keen interest in states is the
general governorship election scheduled for February 28, 2015.
Consequently, the pronouncement has fast-forwarded horse trading,
intrigues, and consultations among political actors, as they go for the
broke in the elections. Viewed from the prism of politicians, the year
2014 is crucial as it will show a preview of what will play out in 2015.
In Oyo State, therefore, the battle for the control of the political
capital of defunct Western Regionbegan on New Year’s day.A visit to
Ibadan, the state capital, will leave no one in doubt as to how the land
lies ahead of the February 28. As citizens and residents of the state
woke up to savour the fresh air of the first day of the year, they were
greeted with posters, in strategic places and corners in the metropolis,
of would-be governorship aspirants planning to unseat the incumbent
government of the All Progressives Congress (APC).
Read More after the cut.....
A dissection of the posters of governorship hopefuls so far released
in the state shows that the veterans in the politics of the state are
not tired yet and their names have been coming up on the Ouija board.
First, it was the posters of the immediate
past governor of the state, Chief Adebayo Alao-Akala, that festooned
the state. Contrary to speculations that Alao-Akala was contemplating
leaving the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), the logo and emblem of the
umbrella party were on the posters. The message in the poster read:
Ajumobi o kantaanu, eniori ran sini nii seni lore. Loosely translated,
the Yoruba proverbial expression means filial connection doesn’t
automatically attract favour from kith and kin; it is the destined that
shows one favour. Clamour for an Ibadan candidate for the governorship
position was one of the factors that cost Alao-Akala re-election in
2011.
Instructive in the expression, is the pun (play on words) on the name
of Governor Abiola Ajimobi. The mantra of the administration has been
k’Oyo le da, Ajumose gbogbowani o, meaning the transformation of Oyo
State is a collective responsibility.
Following was the poster of former governor Rashidi Ladoja which had emblazoned on it the expression, Welcome back to the Government House.
The expression is considered to have laid to rest speculations as to
whether Ladoja will run or anoint a candidate for the election. And
since its strong showing in the 2011 elections, Accord Party, which was
hurriedly introduced into the politics of the state months before the
elections, is said to have enjoyed tremendous acceptance across all the
districts in the state. The former Oyo governor and national leader of the party has been receiving in, defectors from the ruling APC and the PDP, almost on a monthly basis.
Ladoja and Alao-Akala’s posters revved up political discourse in the
state and the two titans had their surging public opinion further
soared, prompting those ostensibly sympathetic to the ruling APC to quickly
react with a counter-poster containing the images of Ladoja and
Alao-Akala and with the expression, 2 wrongs don’t make a right. By this
expression was meant that the two former leaders had been tested and
tried as governors and should not be re-cycled for the state.
The pro-Ajimobi supporters did not stop
at reacting with posters, as they also took to the electronic media,
where they laboured not just to launder the image of the governor but
also reel out his achievements. In one of the commercials said to have
been sponsored by a caretaker chairman, the punning ofAjimobi’s name was
portrayed as a misconception of the true meaning of the governor’s
name. “Ajimobi is not synonymous with Ajumobi; the former means
Ajimobibi i re (One who appreciates well-born-ness) and the latter,
filial relationship.
Just when the people of the state and observers of the brickbats
thought the war of posters had ended with the reactions of the
pro-Ajimobi loyalists, new posters obviously sponsored by pro-Ladoja and
pro-Alao-Akala supporters dotted the political landscape of the state
on Monday,
this week. Images of the three leading gladiators in the race: Ajimobi,
Ladoja and Alao-Akala were in the posters. The message being couriered
to the people of the state through the instrumentality of the posters
was contained in its graphology. Ladoja and Alao-Akala, were placed
together on the left side with Ajimobi on the other side. The
inscription of the left side images is “Two Good Heads”, while the
statement on the other image reads “are better than one.”
The last may not have been heard and read about the poster battle in
Oyo ahead next year’s election. What has become obvious in the build up
to the race is that the pattern, in the view of pundits, is likely to a follow the
2011 template. Except there is a potent third force that is made of a
generation of young Turks on a new state-wide platform, the three main
parties that will do battle for the governorship position in the state
in 2015 will be PDP, APC and Accord Party.
It will be recalled that Ladoja and Alao-Akala had set up a joint committee of 14 members to explore the possibility of a working relationship in 2015.
The outcome of the committee’s report is still being awaited and this
has fuelled speculations that the alliance might have collapsed due to
irreconcilable differences over who clinches the most-prized
position-governorship post. In recent comments, the gladiators have
debunked insinuations that the pact had died naturally. The ruling party
has labeled the alliance, the gang up of sparrow and squirrel, questing
for undeserved mandate of the people.
From what has been seen so far, issues-based politics has been pushed to the back
seat, as it is only personalities that are being X-rayed. This, to
some, is a foretaste of what to come in 2015. And to other observers,
the 2015 game in Oyo will be “as it was in 2011, so shall it be in
2015,” a reference to the next government of the state being formed
through a broad-based coalition as was done against Alao-Akala in 2011.
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